Oct 02 2018Add to Favorites
An emerging investor demographic.
My little brother is in his mid-20s, loves to surf and is a pilot. He has the life; he works about 8 days a month for a commercial airline, where he flies to Hawaii, surfs with his friends and flies home to surf some more. In his spare time, he has taught himself to trade FX. His girlfriend is a professional surfer and gets cash flow from sponsorships, endorsements, and Instagram posts.
The both of them live a globe-trotting life where getting on a plane to some exotic and remote surfing spot is like getting on the bus. They are both in Indonesia at the moment, off an island in Sumatra, and send our family daily group text photos of their impressive surfing moves and beautiful sunsets - these are the pictures that were sent to us today.
Aside from being inspired and energised by their daily photo texts, to me, these two are pretty empowered kids and I think it’s a fascinating emerging investment demographic, financially empowered Millennials. My brother and his peer group are dogged, sophisticated and competitive when it comes to committing daily learning habits, audio books and executing on investment strategies to get ahead.
What wealth means to me.
To me, wealth means feeling emotionally vibrant, empowered, healthy, happy; having time to spend with friends and family and the people I love; being challenged having a sense of achievement; giving back to the community, having a positive impact; having good hair and great shoes (!). One of the most interesting things that I think about when I think about the essence of wealth is having time and having a choice. Most of us trade our time for money because that is what we have been taught and conditioned to do and what most of us do whilst we build up a nest egg. One of my goals as an investor is to have enough capital invested so that my capital works for me and so that I have control and choice over how I spend my time. To me, when I think about wealth, time is the most valuable currency we have.
The numbers; property fundamentals.
I wrote about this topic a few weeks ago (read it here), and increasingly I am seeing these vibrant entrepreneurial Millennials who are financially empowered and who’s wise investment decision making will contribute to how our nation fares with our top-heavy ageing population issue, to recap;
ABS statistics show that our Australian population today is 25m and 14% of that 25m is over the age of 65. The ABS further forecasts that once our population hits 52 million, our over 65 ratio reaches about 25%. Read more here.
Essentially and in a nutshell, unless there are significant inflows of skilled, tax-paying migrants, the Australian Government will not have the fiscal ability to provide the financial support required to look after our elderly. We have a diminishing taxpayer base due to our top-heavy aging population. This is both a Labor and a Liberal issue, regardless of who gets into power after the election in 2019 this issue will need to be addressed. Whilst the Liberal government has done an outstanding job of reducing our national debt levels from c. $35b in 2016-17 to c.$18b in this most recent budget, the improvements are primarily predicated on the collection of taxpayer dollars. Given there hasn't been any material wages growth over the last couple of years, these budget ambitions can only be achieved if strategic inflows of skilled migrants come to Australia in increasing volumes.
NSW government has committed c.$85b to new infrastructure to support population growth which is forecast to grow from 7.7m in 2018 to over 10m in 3036 to over 12 million in 2050 (according to NSW Government treasury reports and NSW Government infrastructure reports).
The Aussie housing market is worth c. $7.6 trillion and according to Core Logic (June 2018), there is a fairly low ratio of debt on the $7.6 trillion total value at about 23% or $1.76 trillion. It's our view that these numbers do not support any signs of a bubble.
The fact is that NSW has a difficult planning system that makes new supply quite slow. We have a demand driven by immigration and restriction on supply. Whilst the APRA cooling measures and Royal Commission initiatives create a softening of the market which is a good thing, the restriction on credit doesn’t help affordability.
All of the fundamental indicators support real estate as an investment asset class in NSW and especially in Sydney.
MP Funds Management & Golden Goose Capital
Our primary and immediate Investor-focus at MP Funds Management is centered on a few different segments; domestic and offshore institutional investors, ultra-high net worth investors and family offices as well as the c.$700 billion Australian Self-Managed Superannuation Fund (SMSF) investor -base. According to a recent study, Australian SMSFs have only 19% of their wealth invested in the Aussie $7.6 trillion residential real estate market. Overall managed Australian Superannuation together with SMSF in aggregate has only a 10% exposure to real estate.
Given that banks like Westpac and CommBank have announced that they will no longer provide finance to SMSF’s to buy real estate, the real estate investment space is going to evolve significantly.
For the next 5 years and onwards MP Funds Management’s Focus, via our investment platform, Golden Goose Capital will be more focused towards not only SMSF investors but Millennials.
In Australia, NSW specifically, Millennials (born between c.1982 and 2000) make up over 25% of the population and are now the largest generational group, having overtaken the baby boomers in 2016. Millennials will remain a major force throughout the next 40 years, making up the largest proportion of the population into the 2030s. This is partly an ‘echo’ effect — they are the children of the baby boomers — but also reflects migration.
With the Royal Commission into superannuation industry stirring up some controversy around conflicts of interest and hidden fees, the onus is increasingly on the individual to be empowered to take control of their own financial future.
This Millennial generation has less of a reverence for institutionalised ways of doing things, demand transparency and eschews tradition if there is a more effective way of doing things.
The current investment landscape in Australia is driven by a range of factors, not least the 2019 federal election, and the view is that the result of the Wentworth by-election, a seat that has historically been monopolised by the Liberal Party, will be the foreshadowing of the federal outcome. The Australian equities market is experiencing volatility, with a 200 point drop last week in the S&P ASX index, the largest drop this year and potentially the result of sentiment surrounding geopolitical headwinds with the latest developments relating to the trade war between the USA and China. Global bond rates remain low, and despite incremental increases, interest rates are too low to be attractive from an investment perspective.
In an ongoing low-interest rate environment on savings and with banks withdrawing from property and construction financing, investment groups like Centennial Property Group are seeing value in providing first mortgage funding for property development, recently settling a $48m loan for a mixed-use retail/residential development in Sans Souci, NSW
With the combined influences of a cooling residential property market and heightened bank scrutiny on all aspects of real estate lending, traditional debt sources are, in many cases, closed to developers and commercial real estate investors, particularly where circumstances require a specific funding solution.
Creating an account with MP Report allows you to save articles and update your preferences to filter the content based on your interests and what content you would like to receive from us via our email alerts and newsletter.SIGN UP HERE >